❖ Light/Moderate rainfall/snowfall accompanied with thunderstorm recorded at most places over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh; at many places over Uttarakhand and Arunachal Pradesh; at a few places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim.
❖ Light/Moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm recorded at many places over Punjab, Gangetic West Bengal; at a few places over Jharkhand, Assam & Meghalaya, Lakshadweep; at isolated places over Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, East Uttar Pradesh, West Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh,
Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Bihar, Odisha, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, North Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe.
❖ Warm night conditions prevailed in isolated pockets over East Madhya Pradesh and Madhya
Maharashtra.
Weather Systems and Forecast & Warnings:
❖ A Western Disturbance seen as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies roughly along Long. 72°E to the north of Lat. 30°N and an induced cyclonic circulation lies over south Haryana & neighbourhood in lower tropospheric levels. Under their influence:
✓ Isolated light to moderate rainfall/snowfall with isolated thunderstorms & lightning very likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand and light rainfall over north Punjab on 31st March, 2024.
❖ Two fresh Western Disturbances likely to affect Western Himalayan region, 1st from 02nd April night and 2
nd from 05th April.
Under their influence:
✓ Isolated to Scattered light/moderate rainfall/snowfall with isolated thunderstorms & lightning very likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh &
Uttarakhand during 03rd-06th April and light isolated rainfall over Punjab, Haryana & Chandigarh
during 03rd-05th April, 2024.
❖ A cyclonic circulation lies over northeast Assam & a north-south trough runs from east Bihar to north
Bay of Bengal in lower tropospheric levels. Under the influence of these systems:
✓ Faily widespread to widespread light/moderate rainfall/snowfall with isolated thunderstorms &
lightning very likely over Arunachal Pradesh; light to moderate rainfall over Assam & Meghalaya
and scattered light to moderate rainfall over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Sikkim
during 31st March-04th April, 2024.
2
✓ Isolated heavy rainfall/snowfall very likely over Arunachal Pradesh during 31st March- 04
th April with isolated very heavy falls on 31st March.
✓ Isolated heavy rainfall over Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on 31st March & 01st April with isolated very heavy falls over Assam & Meghalaya on 31st March.
Maximum temperature observation and forecast for next 5 days:
❖ Yesterday, Maximum temperatures were in the range of 40-42°C at a few places over East Madhya
Pradesh & south Andhra Pradesh and at isolated pockets over North Interior Karnataka, Madhya
Maharashtra, Marathwada, Vidarbha and Telangana.
❖ Today, minimum temperatures are above normal by 3-5°C at most places over East Uttar Pradesh; at
many places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and West Uttar Pradesh; at a few places over
Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra; at isolated places over Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, East
Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Konkan & Goa, Marathwada, Jharkhand, Arunachal Pradesh and
Assam & Meghalaya.
❖ Fall in maximum temperatures by above 2°C very likely over many parts of Northwest India during next
2 days and rise by 2-3°C thereafter.
❖ No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over many parts of central India during next
24 hours and over east during 3 days and rise by 2-3°C thereafter.
❖ No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over many parts of Madhya Maharashtra &
Madhya Maharashtra during next 48 hours and rise by 2-3°C thereafter and No significant change in
maximum temperatures over rest parts of rest parts of west India during next 5 days.
❖ No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over many parts of south peninsular India
during next 5 days except parts of Tamil Nadu & Andhra Pradesh where temperature are likely to rise
by 2-3°C during next 3 days.
❖ No significant change in maximum temperatures over rest parts of the country during next 5 days.
Heat wave, Warm Night and Hot & Humid weather warning for next 5 days:
❖ Heat wave conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & North Interior
Karnataka during 02nd -04th April; over Rayalaseema during 01st-4th April and over Telangana on 01
st & 02nd April, 2024.
❖ Warm night conditions very likely to prevail in isolated pockets over Madhya Pradesh on 31st March;
over Odisha during 02nd -04th April; over Madhya Maharashtra during 31st March- 03rd April, Marathwada on 01
st & 02nd and over Telangana on 31st March & 01stApril, 2024.
❖ Hot and humid weather very likely to prevail over Rayalaseema on 31st March, Coastal Andhra Pradesh
& Yanam, Kerala & Mahe & Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during 31st March-04th April; over Odisha during 02nd– 04th April, 2024.
❖ Yesterday, the maximum temperature exceeded 95th percentile at isolated places over Marathwada.
Maximum temperature likely to exceeded 95th percentile over parts of Rayalaseema, Karnataka,
Marathwada and Odisha till 4th April, over Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, East Madhya Pradesh and
Vidarbha, from 4th April onward and over north Tamil Nadu from 3rd April, 2024.
